Match Preview: Madison Keys v Coco Vandeweghe

This is the Stanford final tomorrow and Madison Keys and Coco Vandeweghe will face off for the first big tournament of the US Open hard court series. Coco Vandeweghe is entering this match as the very, very slight favourite so really both women have a good chance.

Recent Form

After a playing her first match of the season in Indian Wells due to wrist surgery recovery Madison Keys finished her hard court season in Miami where she fell in the third round to Lara Arruabarrena. She then started her clay court season with three straight first round or second losses in Charleston, Madrid and Rome to Shelby Rogers, Nao Hibino and Daria Gavrilova respectively. She then got her first and only clay win at the French Open over Ash Barty before falling in the second round to Petra Martic. It was a similar situation at Wimbledon as she got a first round win over Nao Hibino but then fell to Camila Giorgi in the second round. Vandeweghe has enjoyed a breakout season despite a little bit of a lull on the clay. Her first clay event was in Stuttgart where she reached the second round before losing to Karolina Pliskova. She had a good result in Madrid, where he reached the quarterfinals before losing to eventual champion Simona Halep. The worst part of the season for her was when she lost in the first round of Rolland Garros to Magdelena Rybarikova and then back on the grass she fell to Carina Witthoeft in the first round of Hertogenbosch, where she was defending champion. She reached the quarterfinals of her other two grass tournaments in Birmingham and Wimbledon to Garbine Muguruza and Magdelena Rybarikova respectively.

Stanford Record

Neither of these women have enjoyed consistent results here, especially not Madison Keys, but Vandeweghe has perviously had good results here. This is the third time Keys has played Stanford with the first time being in 2013 and the other time in 2015. Both of the times she played she lost in the second round to Vera Dushevina in 2013 and then to Ajla Tomljanovic in 2015. She didn’t have any pressure this year because she wasn’t defending any points and there wasn’t really many expectations. Vandeweghe is playing here for the sixth time this year ever since making her debut in 2011. Her best result came in 2012 when she reached the final with wins over Jelena Jankovic and Agnieszka Radwanska before she went down to Serena Williams in straight sets. Her worst result was on her debut in 2011 when she fell in the first round to Rebecca Marino. Last year she pulled out with an injury in the quarterfinals to Alison Riske so she has already defended all her points from last year.

Head to Head Record

Madison Keys and Coco Vandeweghe have never played each other in a main draw WTA tour level event.

Prediction

I think that both women will come out expecting themselves to win this match but it will come down to who is the most consistent player out there. I think that Keys will play well for the whole match but Vandeweghe will race out the blocks before slowly waning. I don’t think Keys won’t be able to anything in the first set as Vandeweghe will come out firing and be barely missing as she will race through the opener 6-2. I think that Vandeweghe will probably carry that into the start of the second set and will go up a break. I think that Vandeweghe might even serve for the title but she will start to get worse and worse and Keys will break back before taking the set 7-5. I think that Vandeweghe will be so frustrated with herself by the third set and Keys will be very solid and won’t miss a lot as she will take the championship match 2-6, 7-5, 6-2.

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