This is the second match on Centre Court and it’s a great contrast of styles with Murray being a solid baseliner up against a crafty shotmaker in Brown. Andy Murray is the heavy favourite to get past Dustin Brown in front of his home crowd.
Andy Murray didn’t have a very successful clay court season but he has started to look a bit more like his normal self in the past couple of weeks. He started his clay season in Monte-Carlo where he fell in third round to Albert Ramos-Vinolas in a disappointing tournament. He then had his most successful outing of the season up at that point when he reached the semifinals of the 500 event in Barcelona with a win over Feliciano Lopez before falling to Dominic Thiem. In the two big clay events outside the French Open, Murray had very disappointing results as he lost in the third round of Madrid to Borna Coric and then in the second round of Rome to Fabio Fognini. He then started to play a lot better at Rolland Garros as he got wins over Juan Martin del Potro and Kei Nishikori before going out to Stan Wawrinka in the semifinals. His only Wimbledon lead up event was a disaster as he fell in straight sets to Jordan Thompson in the first round at Queens. Dustin Brown has not been having a good time at all recently considering he did not win a match throughout the entire clay season. He fell in the first round of Barcelona to Bernard Tomic, the first round of Munich to Mischa Zverev, the first round of Lyon to Nicolas Kicker and then the first round of Rolland Garros to Gael Monfils. He has played three events on grass which has seen him reach the semifinals of a challenger event, fall to Stefan Kozlov in the first round of Hertogenbosch and then fall in the second round of Halle to Roberto Bautista Agut.
Both of these men have had success at Wimbledon and both have gotten great wins but Andy Murray is by far the more comfortable at this event. Murray is playing in his twelfth Wimbledon this year since making his debut at the event in 2005. His best result came in 2013 and last year, in 2016, when he won the Championships and two . His 2013 title run was highlighted by wins over Fernando Verdasco and Novak Djokovic were as his title run last year was highlighted by wins over young guns Nick Kyrgios and Milos Raonic. His worst result at the tournament was in his first year when he fell in the third round to David Nalbandian. He has a lot to defend this year as he won the title last year but he has never really been too affected by pressure. Dustin Brown is playing in the event for the eighth time since making his debut back in 2010. His best results were in 2013 and 2015 when he made the third round after having two massive wins in the second round. He fell to Adrian Mannarino in 2013 and then to Viktor Troicki in his most recent third round in 2015. His worst result at the tournament was when he lost in the first round of qualifying to Grega Zemlja in a very tight three setter in 2011. Last year he made the second round before taking a loss to Nick Kyrgios so he has already defended all his points from last year.
Head to Head Record
Andy Murray and Dustin Brown have played each other once back in 2010 in the second round of the US Open. Murray prevailed on the occasion 7-5, 6-3, 6-0 in a typical scoreline of a top player against someone like Dustin Brown. The top player has some trouble with Brown’s incredible shot making in the first set, they’re starting to get comfortable with his game style in the second and then by the third set they are shutting down every opportunity Brown has to pull of an unthinkable winner. I think that this will be in both of their minds today and it will give Murray a little chip on his shoulder while walking on to court.
Dustin Brown is the exact type of player that brings out the best in Andy Murray and he takes great pleasure in really producing a beat down against them. I think Murray will be full of confidence when he steps out and he will be ready to take no shotmaking nonesne from Brown. Brown’s quirky game style still might mess with Murray a little bit to start but Andy will get a break late in the set before taking it 6-4. For the next two sets Murray will have everything about Brown sorted out and he won’t drop another game for the rest of the match as he will move through it 6-4, 6-0, 6-0. This would be such a great win for Murray and if he does it in style and convincingly he could get a lot of his mojo back to where it was this time last year.