Match Preview: Stan Wawrinka v Paolo Lorenzi

This is the fourth match on Stadium 1 tomorrow and it should be interesting to see how Wawrinka is playing because he’s opener normally indicates how he’s going to perform throughout the week at a tournament. Lorenzi got a straight set win over Robin Haase in his first match so he would be feeling confident.

Recent Form

Wawrinka was playing really well in Australia as he reached the semifinals of both Brisbane and Melbourne, before losing to Nishikori and Federer respectively, but after that he’s been struggling with a right knee injury. Wawrinka has said that his knee has healed and he is feeling healthy now. The only other match he has played outside Australia was a straight set loss to Damir Dzhumur in Dubai, where he was defending champion. Wawrinka has a 7-3 win loss record so far this season which I don’t think he’d be happy with. Lorenzi hasn’t had the best results this year as he’s only managed to win back to back matches at one of his seven tournaments, which was Quito and he went on to reach the final. Despite the lack of results I still think he’s playing good tennis. He has an 8-8 win loss record for the season so far, including his match this week.

Indian Wells Form

Wawrinka has played here nine times since 2006 with his best results coming in 2008 and 2011 when he reached the quarterfinals. He has lost in the second round here before, in 2006 and 2014, but he’s most common result is the fourth round, which he has made four times. Last year he made the fourth round so he is not defending too many points this week. Lorenzi has played had played here for four years from 2010 to 2014 but hasn’t played since then. His best result was the second round, which he reached in 2013 and 2014, and the other two years he fell in the first round. This means he may be feeling a bit uncomfortable, having not played here for a while but that round 1 victory would have shaken off most of the nerves. He is not defending any points this year having not played last year so there is no pressure on him.

Head to Head Record 

These two have gone up against each other twice before in their careers and Wawrinka has come out victorious in straight sets in both of the meetings. Their first meeting was on the clay in Buenos Aires in the first round and Wawrinka won that one 6-3, 6-3. Wawrinka wasn’t the player he is today back then as he didn’t have the grand slams under his belt but he was still a top 20 player. Lorenzi also hadn’t reached the highs he has today in his career. The other meeting was on the grass in s-Hertogenbosch in preparation for Wimbledon and Wawrinka won that was 6-3, 7-6(10-8). This is Wawrinka’s worst surface so it’s understandable that it was harder for him to close it out here but still he got it done in straight sets. They have never played on a hard court so that will take away some of Wawrinka’s confidence but I still think he’ll be feeling good.

My Prediction

I think Wawrinka will come out feeling confident and ready to play were as Lorenzi will be feeling the nerves as he comes out to play on a really big stadium court, which doesn’t happen for him to often. I think Lorenzi might get his first service game of the match but from then Wawrinka will just blitz the contest. He will take the first set easily 6-1 and then Lorenzi will get down on him self and annoyed which might lead him to drop the intensity and give away a few free points to Wawrinka. I think Wawrinka will take that second set 6-0 and that will lead him into the rest of the tournament feeling confident and ready to get a really good result.

 

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